The International Institute for Iranian Studies (Rasanah) issued the Iran Case File (ICF) for August 2022. The file provides readers in general and researchers in particular with an in-depth analysis and overview of Iran’s variant interactions and affairs. The file is divided into three main parts: Internal Affairs, Arab Affairs, and International Affairs.
As for August 2022, Internal Affairs is divided into four main files. The Ideological File discusses the resignation of the Shiite Marja Kadhim al-Haeri, the implications of the assassination attempt against Salman Rushdie, and Iran’s responsibility. The Political File reviews the criticism unleashed against Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi marking his one year in office and the supreme leader and the “hardliners” praising the Raisi government. The Economic File touches upon three topics: Raisi’s electoral promises and his economic platform; the economic situation one year after Raisi’s assumption of presidential office; and the consequences of the economic situation. The Military File reviews four topics: Iranian weapons in the Russia-Ukraine battlefields; Iran’s growing interest in drone warfare; Iran’s maritime piracy; and Israel’s targeting of an Iranian missile depot in Syria.
Arab Affairs includes four main files. The first file reviews Iran-Gulf relations, shedding light on the return of Gulf ambassadors to Tehran and the Saudi-Iran dialogue amid the ambiguity of the Iraqi mediation role. The second file discusses Iran’s interactions in Yemen, analyzing the challenges and peace prospects following the extension of the military truce. The file also examines the position of the Presidential Leadership Council on the Shabwa clashes, highlighting the Houthis’ exploitation of the clashes. The third file evaluates Iran- Iraq relations, discussing four major developments: the intra-Shiite armed clashes in the Green Zone; the implications of Muqtada al-Sadr’s resignation; Iran’s position on the intra-Shiite armed escalation. Finally, the file provides potential scenarios for Iraq amid the mounting crisis between the Sadrist Movement and the Coordination Framework. The fourth file explores Iran’s interactions with Syria with a particular focus on the implications of the US-Israeli escalation against Iran in Syria and the position of Tehran on Syria-Turkey rapprochement.
International Affairs for August 2022 discusses Iran’s interactions with the United States and Europe. As for Iran-US relations, the file sheds light on three main topics: the US and Iranian response to the EU proposed blue print to revive the nuclear deal; maintaining mutual leveraging; and enhancing opposing alliances and movements. The file also touches upon Iran’s relations with the Europeans, reviewing two important developments: Iran-Sweden fresh tensions; the debate of the EU and the International Atomic Energy Agency on Iran’s nuclear program.
